Banca de DEFESA: HILDELANA FERREIRA DE MIRANDA PAIVA

Uma banca de DEFESA de MESTRADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
DISCENTE : HILDELANA FERREIRA DE MIRANDA PAIVA
DATA : 28/03/2018
HORA: 14:00
LOCAL: Sala 222- CTEC
TÍTULO:

 Impact of Meteorological Variables on the Occurrence of Diseases Transmitted by Aedes aegypti Mosquito in Natal-RN

PALAVRAS-CHAVES:

Statistical analysis, dengue, climate change, public health, zika

PÁGINAS: 43
GRANDE ÁREA: Engenharias
ÁREA: Engenharia de Produção
RESUMO:

One of the main public health concerns is the increase in cases of diseases related to the Aedes aegypti mosquito, which is the main vector of chikungunya, dengue and zika. Models that describe the population dynamics of the mosquito and the occurrence of cases can help to effectively direct policies of control and prevention of such diseases. Since the population of Aedes aegypti has a strong dependence on the environment, it is essential to identify the most influential meteorological variables to allow modeling and an adequate forecast of outbreaks of vector-related diseases. In light of the above, this work aims to identify which meteorological variables influence the occurrence of diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti in Natal-RN. The proposed method consists of analyzing historical series of cases of the infectious diseases mentioned above in relation to meteorological data of the city through cross correlation. It is worth mentioning the observation of a weak association between precipitation and the incidence rate of cases when analyzing the random parts of the series, indicating that weekly variations of precipitation in Natal would have little influence in the occurrence of cases. It was verified that the association of the variables maximum temperature, minimum temperature and relative air humidity with the incidence rate of cases of Aedes aegypti-related diseases. Thus, the relevance of continuous monitoring of these variables, especially minimum and maximum temperatures, is emphasized, since variations in these conditions can help to evaluate the risk of outbreaks of the mentioned diseases, guiding the planning of control and prevention actions.

MEMBROS DA BANCA:
Presidente - 1218831 - CARLA ALMEIDA VIVACQUA
Interno - 1229030 - HELIO ROBERTO HEKIS
Externo à Instituição - BERNARDO BORBA DE ANDRADE - UnB